
Stroms continue to line up
Hurricane Earl continues to intensify as it inches closer to the US. The question still remains; will it have a minimal impact on the US or a great one? Even though the eye wall will likely not hit the continental US, winds, heavy rain and storm-related flooding probably will. That said, lets take a look at some models:

SWFMD

Early Cycle Intensity
The “SMFMD” shows potential tracks of Hurricane Earl. Note that only one model is placing the eye of this storm on land, the rest keep this most intense portion of the storm over open water. This is encouraging although as mentioned above, there is still a good possibility that there will be damage along many portions of the east coast.
The “Early Cycle Intensity” map is showing growth potential over the next 12-24 hours but after that, Earl arrives in a much cooler area of water and contends with a front that will be pushing off the coast. As noted visually above, trending down in intensity will be the mode by Wednesday morning.

National Hurricane Center
Finally, this map is produced by the NHC and shows TS force wind probabilities on either side of this massive storm. NC & VA look to be under the gun with the highest chances for strong winds. As has been the theme throughout this write-up though, anywhere along the east coast can see enough wind to do damage. Many, many areas will be affected by Earl.
As always, make sure you follow the CTV facebook and twitter. We will cover this storm as it approaches and announce live feeds, emergent news and storm updates.